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Adrian Raftery: Unpublished Technical Reports and Working Papers

Berrocal, V.J., Raftery, A.E. and Gneiting, T. (2008). ``Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting using a Two-Stage Spatial Model.'' Technical Report no. 532, Department of Statistics, University of Washington.

Raftery, A.E., Karny, M., Andrysek, J. and Ettler, P. (2007). ``Online Prediction Under Model Uncertainty Via Dynamic Model Averaging: Application to a Cold Rolling Mill.'' Technical Report no. 525, Department of Statistics, University of Washington.

Krivitsky, P., Handcock, M.S., Raftery, A.E. and Hoff. P. (2007). ``Representing Degree Distributions, Clustering, and Homophily in Social Networks with Latent Cluster Random Effects Models.'' Technical Report no. 517, Department of Statistics, University of Washington. Also Working Paper no. 77, Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington.

Alkema, L., Raftery, A.E. and Brown, T. (2008). ``Bayesian melding for estimating uncertainty in national HIV prevalence estimates.'' Working Paper no. 82, Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington.

Fraley, C., Raftery, A.E., Sloughter, J.M. and Gneiting, T. (2007). ``ensembleBMA: An R Package for Probabilistic Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging.'' Technical Report no. 516, Department of Statistics, University of Washington.

Eicher, T., Papageorgiou, C. and Raftery, A.E. (2007). ``Determining Growth Determinants: Default Priors and Predictive Performance in Bayesian Model Averaging.'' Working Paper no. 76, Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, University of Washington.

Gottardo, R. and Raftery, A.E. (2006). Bayesian Robust Variable and Transformation Selection: A Unified Approach. Technical Report no. 508, Department of Statistics, University of Washington.

Fraley, C. and Raftery, A.E. (2006). MCLUST Version 3 for R: Normal Mixture Modeling and Model-Based Clustering. Technical Report no. 504, Department of Statistics, University of Washington.

Last updated May 21, 2008