My biostatistics research has focused on dveloping Bayesian methods for infectious disease epidemiology, case-control studies, survival analysis, health services and the analysis of gene expression data. Click here for my gene expression work.
Infectious disease epidemiology
Alkema, L., Raftery, A.E. and Brown, T. (2008).
``Bayesian melding for estimating uncertainty in national HIV
prevalence estimates.''
Working Paper no. 82, Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences,
University of Washington.
Alkema, L., Raftery, A.E. and Clark, S.J. (2007). Probabilistic projections of HIV prevalence using Bayesian melding. Annals of Applied Statistics, 1, 229-248.
Case-Control Studies
Viallefont, V., Raftery, A.E. and Richardson, S. (2001).
Variable selection and Bayesian model averaging in epidemiological
case-control studies. Statistics in Medicine, 20, 3215-3230.
Raftery, A.E. and Richardson, S. (1996). Model selection for generalized linear models via GLIB, with application to epidemiology. In Bayesian Biostatistics (D.A. Berry and D.K. Stangl, eds.), New York: Marcel Dekker, pp. 321--354. Earlier version (Postscript).
Survival Analysis
Volinsky, C.T. and Raftery, A.E. (2000).
Bayesian information criterion
for censored survival models.
Biometrics, 56, 256--262.
Volinsky, C.T., Madigan, D., Raftery, A.E. and Kronmal, R.A. (1997). Bayesian model averaging in proportional hazard models: Assessing stroke risk. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, series C---Applied Statistics, 46, 433-448.
Raftery, A.E., Madigan, D. and Volinsky, C.T. (1995). Accounting for model uncertainty in survival analysis improves predictive performance (with Discussion). In Bayesian Statistics 5 (J.M. Bernardo, J.O. Berger, A.P. Dawid and A.F.M. Smith, eds.), Oxford University Press, pp. 323-349. Earlier version (ps).
Health Services
Kahn, M.J. and Raftery, A.E. (1996).
Discharge rates of Medicare stroke
patients to skilled nursing facilities: Bayesian logistic regression with
unobserved heterogeneity.
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 91, 29-41.
Last updated May 22, 2008