# Statistical Climatology (7.5 ECTS)

**Instructor:** Peter
Guttorp

**Time:** Tuesdays 10:00-11:45 and 13:15-15:00, for 7 weeks
September 9-October 21 (28 hours).

**Location: **MVL14.

**Format:** Case based instruction. This means that we will be
working on some scientific problems in groups. When the students
feel they need a lecture on some methodological issue (here
is an example), they can ask for it, but otherwise lecturing
will be limited to problem descriptions at the beginning of each
case. The intent is to have each group contain a broad spectrum of
expertise. Background material will be available on the web, and the
groups will attempt to come up with solutions together. Each case
will take about 2-3 weeks, but may take longer. Different cases will
be presented to the class by the groups in different ways, such as
papers, oral presentations, posters, or web pages. As the course
progresses, we will add more cases and material.
Here are the introductory slides,
including the preliminary group composition, and here is the overview lecture on climate..

**Prerequisites:** The main requirement is a course in
regression, and some elementary probability. Knowledge of R is helpful but not
essential.

**Case 1:** Estimating
daily mean temperature

Slides introducing Case 1.

Presentations from group 1, group 2, group 3.

### Links

**Case 2:** The effect of using
anomalies

Slides introducing Case 2.

### Links

WMO Discussion
paper on the calculation of climate normals

*Nature Climate* paper by Fyfe et al.

Some material on sea level rise.

Slides for October 20.